Forget about the win rate | Forexlive (2024)

“It’s not whetheryou are right or wrong, but how much you make when you are right and how muchyou lose when you are wrong”. This quote from George Soros sums up perfectlywhat trading is all about.

Beginner tradersdon’t want to experience the pain of loss, so they search for trading systemsthat have high percentages of success and regard the win rate as an importantmetric. Well, the win rate it totally irrelevant. You can be profitable with a30% win rate and unprofitable with an 80% one.

How? Well, if you have8 small winners and 2 big losers, you might end up at breakeven or even down.Risk management is key here. Most successful traders are right on half or a bitmore of their trades. For example, George Soros had a 30% win rate while theMedallion Fund, the best money making machine in history, had 50.75%.

The goal of a successfultrader is to take good asymmetric bets and cut off those that are not workingout as expected. That’s it. It’s about trading well.

This wrong focuson the win rate leads new traders to being scammed with trading strategies thatpromise very high win rates. They jump from one strategy to another as soon asthose promises don’t meet their expectations. This is a losing and dangerouscycle that ends up in a big waste of money and eventually a drop out oftrading.

Losses are anatural part of trading, and you just have to know how to deal with them.Unfortunately, in the beginning, you won’t have faith in your skills togenerate consistent positive returns, just because you’ve never done that. Youshould just learn how to trade and focus on trading well rather than tradingfor the money.

Once you achieve alevel where you see that you have positive returns over at least 6-12 monthshorizon, you will start to gain some confidence in your abilities which willhelp you immensely because you will know that even if you have short termsetbacks, your long-term success won’t be affected.

Forget about the win rate | Forexlive (2024)

FAQs

Forget about the win rate | Forexlive? ›

This quote from George Soros sums up perfectly what trading is all about. Beginner traders don't want to experience the pain of loss, so they search for trading systems that have high percentages of success and regard the win rate as an important metric. Well, the win rate it totally irrelevant.

What trading strategy has the highest win rate? ›

If you're looking for a high win rate trading strategy, the Triple RSI Trading System is definitely worth checking out. This system uses three different Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicators to identify potential buy and sell signals in the market.

How do you calculate the win rate of a strategy? ›

How to Calculate Win Rate. To calculate the win rate, you need to divide the number of winning trades by the total number of trades executed and then multiply by 100 to express the result as a percentage. In this example, the win rate is 60%, meaning that 60% of the trades executed were profitable.

What is the win rate of trend trading? ›

Trend Trading and Risk Management

When buying trending instruments, there is a high probability that your position could reverse and hit it's stop loss before turning into a major trend. So the win rate of a typical trend following system is between 30-50%.

What is the win rate for professional traders? ›

Your Win Rate tells you how many of your trades are profitable, however this should never be confused with success as a trader. Many traders with high win rates are not profitable. Many studies have shown that many of the worlds most successful traders have win rates of between 40% and 50%.

Is there a 100% trading strategy? ›

A 100 percent trading strategy is an approach that involves investing all of your capital into a single trade. While this can be risky, it can also lead to significant profits if executed correctly.

Is a 40% win rate good in trading? ›

If a trader is managing risk well and limiting losses on losing trades, a 40% win rate can still lead to profitability. Consistently controlling the size of losing trades is essential for long-term success. Trading Style: Different trading styles may have varying win rates.

What is a good win strategy? ›

A good win strategy will provide a vision for the winning messaging and key language used in your proposal, but it must not be so rigid that it cannot be adjusted. A win strategy must be flexible and adaptable to change with competitive considerations that arise during the opportunity lifecycle.

What is an example of a win rate? ›

Win rate by count is the ratio of deals won to the number of total closed opportunities. Thus, win rate by count answers the question, “how often do I win?” For instance, if you had 8 closed deals in the past month and only 2 of those were wins then your win rate by count is 25% (2/8=0.25).

What is the difference between win rate and win ratio? ›

A sales win rate is the percentage of closed-won deals against the number of deals lost. In contrast, a sales close rate, also known as the win ratio, is the percentage of closed-won deals against the total number of sales opportunities closed (won or lost).

Is 50% win rate in trading is good? ›

A trading strategy with a 50% win rate can still make a profit if the gains from winning trades are larger than the losses from losing trades. This is often achieved through the use of a positive expected return on the winning trades.

Is 60 percent win rate good in trading? ›

Now, you will have more profit with a 60% win rate and a high risk-to-reward ratio. If you have a win rate of 50% or less, your winning trades should be higher than your losing trades. If the risk-to-reward is above 1.5, you can be profitable with a 40% win rate.

Is trend trading the most profitable? ›

Conclusion. The market always follows any of three trends: Uptrend, Downtrend, and Sideways. As investors have proven strategies to identify these trends and execute orders, trend trading is one of the safest and most profitable trading techniques.

How much do professional traders make a day? ›

Some traders aim to earn 1%-2.5% of their account balance daily. It should be noted that higher risks usually accompany higher returns and that traders who risk more have a higher potential to blow out their trading accounts. Many profitable traders attest to the importance of proper risk management.

How much does the average professional trader make? ›

Professional Trader Salary
Annual SalaryMonthly Pay
Top Earners$185,000$15,416
75th Percentile$105,500$8,791
Average$96,774$8,064
25th Percentile$56,500$4,708

How much does the average professional day trader make? ›

The average income of a day trader varies widely, depending on factors like experience, strategy, and market conditions. While some traders can make over $100,000 per year, many others struggle to break even.

What strategy do most traders use? ›

Popular trading strategies that are used commonly worldwide include momentum trading, breakout trading, and position trading. Momentum trading strategy involves identifying and riding on the price movements of financial instruments that are experiencing significant momentum in a particular direction.

What is the simplest most profitable trading strategy? ›

One of the simplest and most widely known fundamental strategies is value investing. This strategy involves identifying undervalued assets based on their intrinsic value and holding onto them until the market recognizes their true worth.

Is a 90 win rate possible in trading? ›

While a 90% success rate may be theoretically achievable under certain conditions, it's essential to scrutinize the practical implications and feasibility in real-world trading scenarios.

What is a 90% strategy for stocks using two lines? ›

A 90% percentage strategy for stocks using these lines could be something like this: Identify a strong uptrend or downtrend in a stock using a higher time frame, such as daily or weekly. Draw a trend line connecting the higher lows in an uptrend or the lower highs in a downtrend.

References

Top Articles
Latest Posts
Article information

Author: Prof. An Powlowski

Last Updated:

Views: 6804

Rating: 4.3 / 5 (44 voted)

Reviews: 91% of readers found this page helpful

Author information

Name: Prof. An Powlowski

Birthday: 1992-09-29

Address: Apt. 994 8891 Orval Hill, Brittnyburgh, AZ 41023-0398

Phone: +26417467956738

Job: District Marketing Strategist

Hobby: Embroidery, Bodybuilding, Motor sports, Amateur radio, Wood carving, Whittling, Air sports

Introduction: My name is Prof. An Powlowski, I am a charming, helpful, attractive, good, graceful, thoughtful, vast person who loves writing and wants to share my knowledge and understanding with you.