Do fundamentals matter? (2024)

Do fundamentals matter? (1)

Rahul Mahajan Do fundamentals matter? (2)

Rahul Mahajan

Teacher of Economics

Published Feb 12, 2024

Well, obviously they matter to the management of the stock being traded.

But do they matter to the trader in the sense of "is fundamental analysis actually required?"

The answer is, "it depends".

It is entirely contingent on strategy timeframe.

The vast majority of traders who put in great numbers at the USIC did not really bother with fundamentals.

Do fundamentals matter? (6)

Goverdhan is an intraday trader. Afzal swing trades, as does Marios, Deepak, Sean and Drew. I do not know the others' approach.

To get listed in the above with a higher probability, you really need to be on margin and generate rapid inventory turnover. This lends itself to very short term pure price action trading.

But many traders are more patient and less willing to trade like a maniac. As the timeframe expands to beyond weeks and to a handful of single digit months, fundamentals start to matter. Volume is the rocket propulsion to price and wonderful fundamentals serve to add said fuel in the form of institutional involvement.

Now, I am a qualified fundamental analyst (having worked in i-banking in the 90s). I am also a qualified technical analyst, having secured the professional qualification independently. So I am able to distill matters effectively.

Does a trader with a slightly longer term perspective need to secure a CFA or similar qualification? Not really.

I could live off earnings data alone. The kinds of things to consider are

  • quarterly EPS growth
  • acceleration/deceleration in quarterly EPS growth
  • earnings surprises relative to consensus (both positive and negative)

I would probably also like access to revenue growth data, fully cognisant of the fact from my days as an analyst of the shenanigans that are possible to conduct re: earnings data. Revenue data cannot be similarly manipulated and most of the time is a prerequisite for earnings growth.

To summarise:

  • rapid fire swing traders and day traders should not bother with fundamental data. All that matters in this timeframe is price and volume
  • longer term traders with an 8 weeks and upwards holding period should regard having some grasp of fundamentals as highly advantageous

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Do fundamentals matter? (2024)

FAQs

Do fundamentals matter in stocks? ›

The concept of value investing is pretty simple: you buy stocks for less than their underlying values. While the concept is simple, it is not easy to figure out the value of a company. So that's why stock fundamentals matter——Analyzing stock fundamentals is a method of determining a stock's real or "fair market" value.

Is fundamental analysis worth it? ›

Why is fundamental analysis important? Fundamental analysis is essential for evaluating the company's stock's relative position to its fair value. As previously said, it entails analysing and assessing the company's key ratios against its prior performance and against its peers and the industry average.

What do fundamentals do? ›

Key Takeaways

Fundamentals provide a method to set the financial value of a company, security, or currency. Included in fundamental analysis is basic qualitative and quantitative information that contributes to the asset's financial or economic well-being.

What are strong fundamentals? ›

Fundamentally strong companies have strong underlying businesses. Thanks to this, such companies tend to perform well even in market downturns. So when other shares are bleeding during a stock market correction, a stock with strong fundamentals would probably be doing better than them.

Which stock has the best fundamentals? ›

Do you want to try searching without latest ?
S.No.NameCMP Rs.
1.Gillette India7833.40
2.Foseco India3956.65
3.A B B8867.00
4.Elantas Beck11979.45
2 more rows

How important are fundamentals in trading? ›

Fundamental analysis is used to predict how supply and demand will affect the price of specific commodities. It can determine what is the intrinsic value of a commodity asset and provide an outlook into its future value.

Does fundamental analysis even matter anymore? ›

To summarise: rapid fire swing traders and day traders should not bother with fundamental data. All that matters in this timeframe is price and volume. longer term traders with an 8 weeks and upwards holding period should regard having some grasp of fundamentals as highly advantageous.

What are the pros and cons of fundamental analysis? ›

Advantages and disadvantages
  • Advantages: Objective: the quantitative part of fundamental analysis helps eliminate biases in making decisions on investments. ...
  • Disadvantages: Time-consuming: because fundamental analysis tries to capture both macro and micro factors, it can take a long to prepare.

What is a weakness of fundamental analysis? ›

Subjectivity: One of the primary limitations of fundamental analysis is its subjectivity. evaluating financial statements and determining the intrinsic value of a stock involves making assumptions and judgments. Different analysts may interpret the same information differently, leading to varying conclusions.

How important are fundamentals? ›

Having strong fundamentals is essential for success in any field or endeavor. Fundamentals are the basic principles, concepts, and skills that form the foundation of a particular subject or activity. They are the building blocks upon which more advanced knowledge and skills are built.

How to read fundamentals of a stock? ›

How to start a fundamental analysis ?
  1. Understand the company first.
  2. Use the financial ratios for initial screening.
  3. Closely study the financial reports of the company.
  4. Find the company's competitors/rivals and study them.
  5. Check the company's debt and compare with rivals.
  6. Analyse the company's future prospects.

What is the purpose of fundamentals? ›

You use fundamental to describe things, activities, and principles that are very important or essential. They affect the basic nature of other things or are the most important element upon which other things depend.

What are basic fundamentals? ›

a basic principle, rule, law, or the like, that serves as the groundwork of a system; essential part: to master the fundamentals of a trade.

What is an example of fundamental? ›

We need to make some fundamental changes in the way we do business. The revolution brought about a fundamental change in the country. We need to address these problems on a more fundamental level.

What are essential fundamentals? ›

Essential---Absolutely necessary or key (2)Fundamental---Core or basic, underlying or primary(3)Mandatory-- required or mandated by law such as obeying traffic rules etc.…

Is fundamental analysis enough for trading? ›

Fundamental analysis is generally not used as a tactical, short-term decision-making method. Technical analysis enables traders to gain a vision of the market and make the right move at the right time, while fundamental analysis should be applied strategically, over longer periods.

Do fundamentals matter in swing trading? ›

Fundamental analysis is a critical component of swing trading headfake trades. By assessing the company's financial health, analyzing industry trends, and evaluating macroeconomic conditions, you can identify short-term investment opportunities that are likely to generate significant gains.

Does the stock market run on fundamentals or sentiments? ›

In an efficient market, stock prices would be determined primarily by fundamentals, which, at the basic level, refer to a combination of two things: An earnings base, such as earnings per share (EPS) A valuation multiple, such as a P/E ratio.

How do you choose a stock based on fundamentals? ›

How to start a fundamental analysis ?
  1. Understand the company first.
  2. Use the financial ratios for initial screening.
  3. Closely study the financial reports of the company.
  4. Find the company's competitors/rivals and study them.
  5. Check the company's debt and compare with rivals.
  6. Analyse the company's future prospects.

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