Do day traders beat the stock market? — The Market Hustle (2024)

You may have heard stories of people becoming successful day traders after minimal effort, and although that looks incredibly enticing, the reality is that most day traders end up losing money over the long run.

Studies show that over 97% of day traders end up losing money in the long run…

Yup, Hollywood has done everyone dirty. Especially since many newer investors have this mental image that the stock market is all about finding the right stock at the right time and hoping it makes them a millionaire overnight.

But that couldn’t be further from the truth. And it’s why many confuse investing with gambling and hold themselves back from building wealth by dismissing it as a rich person game.

Investing doesn’t have to be risky or complicated.

The best way to get started is by taking the simplest route. Rather than trying to outguess the markets, one of the most effective and safest ways to invest is to put your money in index funds and let the markets do the work.

The benefits of Index Funds

Index funds are low-cost, diversified investments that track a basket of stocks, such as the S&P 500. This means that by investing in index funds, you invest in a little bit of everything without doing hours of research or trying to guess which stocks will do better than others.

For example, by investing in an S&P 500 index fund, you are investing in all of the top 500 U.S. public companies. And the cool thing about investing in the S&P 500 is that if a company starts to massively fumble, turn unprofitable, and lose market valuation, it will get booted out and replaced with a better company. All without you having to do anything.

You can read more about index funds in my Build a “Set It and Forget It” Portfolio article.

S&P 500 Historical Returns

The unfortunate truth is that most professional investors (who have dedicated their lives to trying to outperform the stock market) have failed to beat the S&P 500 over long periods.

Over the past two decades, up until December 2020, fewer than 10% of actively managed US stock funds were able to outperform the S&P 500.

Despite having access to sophisticated strategies, research, and analysis, the vast majority of professional investors cannot manage to outperform the market index.

The S&P 500 has provided an average return of 10.67% annually since 1957. Even though that might not seem like much at first, it can add to some serious wealth over time. Thanks to the compound interest.

The Compound Interest “Magic”

Many people underestimate the power of compound interest over long periods. The longer compound interest works in your favor, the more powerful it gets.

Compound interest is the most powerful force in the stock market but also the most misunderstood.

What is compound interest? To put it simply, it is your profits making you more profits.

The compounding effect starts small, but it becomes stronger and more powerful as time passes.

Time + Compound Interest = Enormous Wealth

Example: Investing $500 monthly for 35 years with an average return of 10% yearly:

Do day traders beat the stock market? — The Market Hustle (2024)

FAQs

Do day traders beat the stock market? ›

Day trading is a high-risk, high-reward strategy. If your decisions don't work out, you can lose money much more quickly than a regular investor, especially if you use leverage. A study of 1,600 day traders over the course of two years found that 97% of individuals who day traded for more than 300 days lost money.

Can day traders outperform the market? ›

Yes, day-traders can experience huge wins, but equally so, can experience massive losses should the timing of the buy-or-sell not be perfect.

What percent of day traders beat the market? ›

Studies have shown that more than 97% of day traders lose money over time, and less than 1% of day traders are actually profitable.

Is anyone actually successful at day trading? ›

Day trading can be profitable, but it's far from guaranteed. Many day traders end up losing money before calling it quits. Success in day trading requires a deep understanding of market dynamics, the ability to analyze and act on market data quickly, and strict discipline in risk management.

Why do 90% of day traders lose money? ›

One of the biggest reasons traders lose money is a lack of knowledge and education. Many people are drawn to trading because they believe it's a way to make quick money without investing much time or effort. However, this is a dangerous misconception that often leads to losses.

How many traders beat the market? ›

Research: 89% of fund managers fail to beat the market

According to this report, 88.99% of large-cap US funds have underperformed the S&P500 index over ten years. As a whole, 78–97% of actively managed stock funds failed to beat the indexes they were benchmarked against over ten years.

Do people become rich day trading? ›

In summary, if you want to make a living from day trading, your odds are probably around 4% with adequate capital and investing multiple hours every day honing your method over six months or more (once you have a method to even work on).

What is the biggest mistake day traders make? ›

Here are 10 of the most common trading mistakes made by traders.
  • Unrealistic expectations. ...
  • Trading without a trading plan. ...
  • Failure to cut losses. ...
  • Risking more than you can afford. ...
  • Reward/risk ratios. ...
  • Averaging down or adding to a losing position. ...
  • Leveraging too much. ...
  • Trying to anticipate news events or trends.
Mar 31, 2023

Why do 80% of day traders lose money? ›

Time commitments. Day trading is not only incredibly risky, but it's also a huge time commitment to reach the point where you have a shot at being profitable over the long term, due to the massive learning curve.

Can you make a living off day trading? ›

The reality is that consistently making money as a day trader is a rare accomplishment. It's not entirely impossible, but it's certainly an imprudent way to invest your hard-earned cash. For people considering day trading for a living, it's important to understand some of the pitfalls.

Which type of trading is most profitable? ›

The defining feature of day trading is that traders do not hold positions overnight; instead, they seek to profit from short-term price movements occurring during the trading session.It can be considered one of the most profitable trading methods available to investors.

Why is day trading so hard? ›

1) When day trading, trading time is compressed. Losses and wins come at you faster and more often which requires a mature, developed psychology to properly handle that kind of instantaneous feedback in such a short period of time. 2) You must develop the psychology not to be seduced by the open market.

What is the most profitable time to day trade? ›

The opening period (9:30 a.m. to 10:30 a.m. Eastern Time) is often one of the best hours of the day for day trading, offering the biggest moves in the shortest amount of time. A lot of professional day traders stop trading around 11:30 a.m. because that is when volatility and volume tend to taper off.

What happens to most day traders? ›

The vast majority of day traders are unprofitable, and many traders persist in trading for years despite their losses. It is estimated that 80% of day traders quit within the first two years, and nearly 40% quit within one month. After three years, only 13% remain, and after five years, only 7% remain.

Is day trading better than stocks? ›

It's important to note, however, that while investing typically involves less risk than day trading, it does not guarantee profits. Both strategies require thorough research, careful decision-making and an understanding of the markets.

Do 97% of day traders lose money? ›

Day trading has long been touted as a way for people to make a quick buck, with the allure of being your own boss and setting your own schedule. However, the harsh reality is that the vast majority of day traders lose money. In fact, studies have shown that a staggering 97% of day traders end up in the red.

What is the failure rate of day traders? ›

It is estimated that 80% of day traders quit within the first two years, and nearly 40% quit within one month. After three years, only 13% remain, and after five years, only 7% remain.

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