Capital Economics named most accurate equities market forecaster (2024)
Capital Economics has been named the most accurate forecaster of major global stock indices in Reuters polls. The 2023 LSEG StarMine Award was given for forecasting accuracy across 11 equities benchmarks and reflects the breadth and depth of our global coverage of macro and markets.
The award comes as end-2024 S&P 500 forecasts are increasingly revised up towards our 5,500 target as more global institutions factor in the impact of the AI revolution on earnings and valuations.
You can read more about our long-standing view about why we think a bubble in US stocks will continue to inflate over this year and next in this report.
Most accurate forecaster of major global stock indices
For more information about the LSEG StarMine Awards, visit the awards page
Capital Economics is a world-leading provider of independent economic insight. We enable organisations to make better investment decisions that deliver sustainable value.
has been named the most accurate forecaster of major global stock indices in Reuters polls. The 2023 LSEG StarMine Award was given for forecasting accuracy across 11 equities benchmarks and reflects the breadth and depth of our global coverage of macro and markets.
We are quoted extensively in the global media and frequently top polls of analysts' forecasts. Over the years we have received numerous awards, including: Caroline Bain named most accurate 2021 gold price forecaster (LBMA)
Neil Shearing is our Group Chief Economist. He has overall responsibility for managing our team of economists and leading our research, as well as developing the firm's products and its relationship with clients.
We help our clients get a complete and comprehensive picture of what's happening in economies and markets around the world, what it means for their investments, and what is likely to happen next.
CE Gateway subscriptions allow clients to select the coverage that aligns to their specific areas of investment focus, providing them with timely macroeconomic and market insight and analysis to support their business objectives.
Capital Economics provides holistic coverage of the global economy which helps portfolio managers spot new opportunities for investment while also managing exposure risks by providing in-depth analysis across over 100 markets, economies and sectors.
Economic forecasts, at least of real GDP growth, are usually quite good; they are near the mark in most years and over reasonable periods they outperform simple extrapolative methods. The problem is, that when something really large occurs, economic forecasts either fail to pick it or grossly underestimate its size.
Capital Economics is a world-leading provider of independent economic insight. We enable organisations to make better investment decisions that deliver sustainable value.
When economists refer to capital, they are referring to the assets that allow for increased work productivity. These include physical tools, plants, and equipment. Capital comprises one of the four major factors of production; the others are land, labor, and entrepreneurship.
In economics, capital can be defined as the physical or financial resources used to produce value in an economy. These resources may be invested in tangible assets such as factories, businesses, and equipment, or intangible assets such as intellectual property and technological innovations.
People can grow their wealth through capital formation by investing in various avenues such as stock markets, real estate, businesses, and financial instruments like bonds or mutual funds.
In a capitalist economy, capital assets—such as factories, mines, and railroads—can be privately owned and controlled, labor is purchased for money wages, capital gains accrue to private owners, and prices allocate capital and labor between competing uses (see “Supply and Demand”).
Capital goods are a particular form of economic good and are tangible property. Capital goods are one of the three types of producer goods, the other two being land and labour. The three are also known collectively as "primary factors of production".
Most economic models rest on a number of assumptions that are not entirely realistic. For example, agents are often assumed to have perfect information, and markets are often assumed to clear without friction. Or, the model may omit issues that are important to the question being considered, such as externalities.
Capital goods are man-made products used by a business to produce consumer or other capital goods. Consumer goods are products used by consumers. Capital goods include items like buildings, machinery, and tools. Examples of consumer goods include food, appliances, clothing, and automobiles.
There is more efficiency in the capitalist economy as the products are produced according to the demand of the consumers. There is less intervention from the government or bureaucratic interference. There is better scope for innovation as companies look to obtain a major part of the market with their offerings.
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