Bitcoin’s Future as Currency (2024)

Bitcoin is a global, decentralized currency that is beyond the control or guarantee of any country. Recent months in the Bitcoin ecosystem have been marked by a fever pitch of optimism based on the approval of Bitcoin spot market exchange-traded funds. These ETFs are driving Bitcoin’s adoption into the mainstream through the retirement accounts of millions as well as the portfolio constructions of thousands of financial advisors and institutional investors.

The ETFs miss the point, though. Bitcoin is not an asset to hold; it is a currency to use. Bitcoin doesn’t have a price, it has an exchange rate. The future of bitcoin is not that of an asset sitting in an ETF or buried in one’s backyard in a hardware wallet. Currencies are meant to transact.

Zac Townsend is the CEO and co-founder of bitcoin-denominated insurance company Meanwhile. This op-ed is part of CoinDesk’s “Future of Bitcoin” package published to coincide with the fourth Bitcoin “halving” in April 2024.

Though day-to-day payments, like buying coffee, are not a great use for bitcoin, the future is one where there is robust economic activity denominated in bitcoin. Bitcoin will shine at storing value, settling large payments, conducting financial services, and more.

At least 57 countries in the world had inflation rates over 10% last year. The United Kingdom’s was more than 9%, and the United States’ was over 8%. For residents of countries with a history of inflation, regime, or currency risk, the day-to-day volatility of the exchange rate of bitcoin to fiat may seem a lower danger than the decade-to-decade fiscal and monetary mismanagement of countries all over the world.

For this future to exist, though, companies and institutions have to be built within the Bitcoin economy. Meanwhile has built one of the first: a fully-fledged, regulated life insurance company denominated in bitcoin. We conduct all our business in bitcoin. We are regulated by the Bermuda Monetary Authority, which lets us operate on a modified accounting basis with bitcoin as the unit of currency.

We operate a life insurance company like any other. But instead of being in a currency with depreciating purchasing power — like dollars, euros, yen, Swiss francs, or pound sterling — our currency is bitcoin, which is appreciating as a store-of-value.

That means that our company truly operates on the Bitcoin Standard. We state our balance sheet and income statement entirely in bitcoin. Our policyholders pay their premiums in bitcoin, and we make guarantees and promises in bitcoin – agreeing to pay all claims out to beneficiaries entirely in bitcoin. We do our solvency calculations and make all our regulatory filings in terms of bitcoin. We keep our insurance reserves denominated in bitcoin. We state policy values and do all our actuarial math in bitcoin.

This approach means that, as the saying goes, one bitcoin equals one bitcoin. Our policyholders can sleep safe knowing that exchange rate fluctuations do not affect our business, and we can operate knowing that we can meet our promises for the same reason. Bitcoin’s exchange rate has fluctuated between $15,500 and $70,000 over the course of operating the company, but our balance sheet keeps growing in bitcoin terms with no volatility.

We are just one of the first companies to operate in this way, but we should not be the last. Entrepreneurs, builders, bitcoin (and crypto) natives, and, honestly, much of the world’s population will increasingly see the value of building their businesses and their lives on the Bitcoin Standard. Like us, that means they can stop worrying about the exchange rate of bitcoin to the dollar today, or tomorrow, or next month, or even this year and start thinking about bitcoin as a store-of-value that will clearly be worth more in the decades to come.

Edited by Benjamin Schiller.

Bitcoin’s Future as Currency (2024)

FAQs

Bitcoin’s Future as Currency? ›

Bitcoin over time will shift from a semi-inflationary to a purely deflationary currency. Its fixed supply is anticipated to have profound economic implications, both for bitcoin as a digital asset and for its role within the broader financial ecosystem.

Will Bitcoin ever be used as currency? ›

Between the volatility ofbitcoin pricesand the high fees required to trade coins between parties, it's not economically feasible to use it as money given current circ*mstances. For these reasons, crypto skeptics say bitcoin won't ever become a fiat currency like the USD.

Does Bitcoin really have a future? ›

Though day-to-day payments, like buying coffee, are not a great use for bitcoin, the future is one where there is robust economic activity denominated in bitcoin. Bitcoin will shine at storing value, settling large payments, conducting financial services, and more.

What will Bitcoin be worth in 10 years? ›

However, some experts have offered bold projections. Cathie Wood, the founder, chief executive officer, and chief investment officer of ARK Invest, believes that Bitcoin could be worth $1 million per coin before 2030, as adoption by institutional investors increases.

Will Bitcoin be worth anything in 20 years? ›

Max Keiser predicts Bitcoin to be worth $200K in 2024. Fidelity predicts one Bitcoin will be worth $1B in 2038. Hal Finney predicted $22M per Bitcoin by 2045.

Will Bitcoin replace real money? ›

As long as there are governments, there will be demand for that nation's currency. Bitcoin will not replace currency but instead offer people more choices as to which currency they can use to trade and store value and its technology will change how we conduct payments, banking and other financial transactions.

How much will $1000 Bitcoin be worth in 2030? ›

If Wood is correct and Bitcoin does reach $3.8 million by 2030, an investment of $1,000 would be worth over $60,000. This would result in a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of over 100%. Read Next: Bitcoin has jumped another 45% already this year – how much would you need to get started today?

Will crypto be around in 10 years? ›

Key Takeaways. Bitcoin, the cryptocurrency, is most likely to remain popular with speculators over the next decade. Bitcoin, the blockchain, will probably continue to be developed to address long-standing issues like scalability and security.

How many years will Bitcoin last? ›

Bitcoin Supply

The system design reduces the number of new bitcoins in each block by half every four years. There are only about 1.5 million bitcoins left. Experts predict that the last bitcoins will be mined by 2140.

How high can Bitcoin go realistically? ›

Bitcoin, it found, is likely to hit an average peak price of $87,875 in 2024, with some experts predicting it will climb as high as $200,000. On the flip side, the average lowest price Bitcoin could hit by the end of 2024, is seen as $35,734, the report said, with some predicting it will fall as low as $20,000.

Could Bitcoin really hit 1 million? ›

Bitcoin's Price History

Notably, Cathie Wood, CEO of Ark Invest, predicted that bitcoin could reach an astounding $1.48 million by 2030. Obviously, the world's oldest cryptocurrency has come a long way since its first recorded price of less than a cent.

What will BTC be worth in 2050? ›

By 2050, our long-term Bitcoin price prediction estimates that the maximum price could reach up to $11,94,927.3. With continuous developments and advancements in technology, it's possible that the average price of BTC Coin to be around $11,60,786.52.

Will Bitcoin hit 100k? ›

Notably, Bitcoin has demonstrated remarkable growth, surpassing a 100 percent increase in value over the past 12 months. On March 14, 2024, Bitcoin achieved an all-time intraday high of $73,835.57, igniting optimism for a potential ascent towards the coveted $100,000 milestone.

Can Bitcoin reach 100 million in USD? ›

Bitcoin (BTC) is on its way to world dominion, and any currency that stands in its way will experience demonetization or Hyperbitcoinization. Those are the sentiments held by leading cryptocurrency philosopher, Daniel Krawisz, who believes the cryptocurrency will be worth $100,000,000 by 2030.

Can Bitcoin work as a currency? ›

A bitcoin has value because it can be exchanged for and used in place of fiat currency, but it maintains a high exchange rate primarily because it is in demand by investors interested in the possibility of returns.

Why Bitcoin is not accepted as a currency? ›

First, there currently exists no commonly accepted valuation model for Bitcoin. Second, unlike precious metals, highly volatile Bitcoin has no history of being accepted as money and it lacks any time-tested store of value credentials (accepted intrinsic worth), both of which are key currency attributes.

Could Bitcoin be a viable currency? ›

Bitcoin over time will shift from a semi-inflationary to a purely deflationary currency. Its fixed supply is anticipated to have profound economic implications, both for bitcoin as a digital asset and for its role within the broader financial ecosystem.

Is anyone using Bitcoin as currency? ›

In 2021, El Salvador made waves by becoming the first country to make bitcoin legal tender (residents can pay taxes and settle debts with it), though less than 15 percent of people had used it for that purpose in 2023, according to a poll by Central American University.

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