Billionaires Are Selling Nvidia Stock and Buying 2 Top Index Funds That Beat the S&P 500 Over the Past Decade | The Motley Fool (2024)

These wealthy hedge fund managers trimmed their Nvidia positions during the fourth quarter, while purchasing shares of supercharged index funds.

Chipmaker Nvidia (NVDA 2.57%) has been one of the hottest growth stocks on the market, with shares more than tripling in the past year alone. But the hedge fund billionaires listed below sold down their positions in Nvidia during the fourth-quarter and reallocated some capital to two high-growth index funds, the Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ 0.95%) and the iShares U.S. Technology ETF (IYW 0.91%).

  • Israel Englander of Millennium Management sold 1.7 million shares of Nvidia in the fourth quarter, trimming his stake by 45%. He simultaneously increased his position in the Invesco QQQ Trust by 53%, and he started a new position in the iShares U.S. Technology ETF.
  • John Overdeck and David Siegel of Two Sigma Investments sold 30,663 shares of Nvidia in the fourth quarter, trimming their stake by 5%. Meanwhile, the pair upped their position in the Invesco QQQ Trust by 75%, such that it now ranks as Two Sigma's second-largest holding. They also increased their stake in the iShares U.S. Technology ETF by 214%.

Those index funds are particularly attractive because they outperformed the S&P 500 over the last 10 years. Specifically, while the S&P 500 advanced 228% during that period, the Invesco QQQ Trust returned 440% and the iShares U.S. Technology ETF soared 528%.

Here's what investors should know about those index funds.

1. The Invesco QQQ Trust

The Invesco QQQ Trust measures the performance of the Nasdaq-100, which tracks the 100 largest companies on the Nasdaq Stock Exchange. The index fund is heavily weighted toward the information technology (58.9%) and consumer discretionary (17.9%) sectors, the only two market sectors to beat the S&P 500 over the last decade.

The 10 largest positions in the Invesco QQQ Trust are detailed by weight below.

  1. Microsoft: 8.6%
  2. Apple: 7.8%
  3. Nvidia: 6.2%
  4. Alphabet: 5.6%
  5. Amazon: 5.6%
  6. Meta Platforms: 4.5%
  7. Broadcom: 4.3%
  8. Tesla: 2.5%
  9. Costco Wholesale: 2.4%
  10. Netflix: 1.8%

As mentioned, the Invesco QQQ Trust returned 440% over the last decade, but its outperformance goes even further back. The index returned 1,370% over the last two decades, compounding at 14.3% annually. At that pace, $100 invested weekly (about $434 per month) would now be worth $587,500. By comparison, the same amount invested in an would be worth $333,100.

The price of that outperformance was volatility. The Invesco QQQ Trust has a three-year beta of 1.19, meaning the index fund moved 119 basis points (1.19 percentage points) for every 100-basis-point movement in the S&P 500. Remember, volatility cuts both ways. It can drive significant outperformance when stocks are going up, but it can lead to significant underperformance when stocks are going down.

The last item of the note is the expense ratio. The Invesco QQQ Trust carries a relatively low expense ratio of 0.2%, meaning the annaul fees would total $20 on every $10,000 invested. That makes this index fund a very compelling option for investors comfortable with volatility.

2. The iShares U.S. Technology ETF

The iShares U.S. Technology ETF measures the performance of 131 stocks in the information technology sector, letting investors spread money across the consumer electronics, semiconductor, and software markets. The index fund is rebalanced quarterly to ensure (1) no single position is weighted more heavily than 22.5% and (2) the sum of positions exceeding 4.5% do not collectively represent more than 45% of the fund.

The 10 largest positions in the iShares U.S. Technology ETF are listed by weight below.

  1. Microsoft: 18.1%
  2. Apple: 15.5%
  3. Nvidia: 12.6%
  4. Alphabet: 5.9%
  5. Meta Platforms: 3.6%
  6. Broadcom: 2.9%
  7. Salesforce: 2.4%
  8. Adobe: 2.1%
  9. Advanced Micro Devices: 1.9%
  10. Qualcomm: 1.9%

The iShares U.S. Technology ETF has consistently outperformed the S&P 500. I've already mentioned that it beat the market over the last decade, but the index fund also returned 1,240% over the last two decades, compounding at 13.8% annually. At that pace, $100 invested weekly would now be worth $547,900. The same amount invested in an S&P 500 index fund would be worth $333,100.

Similar to the Invesco QQQ Trust, the price of that outperformance was volatility. The iShares U.S. Technology ETF has a three-year beta of 1.24, meaning it moved 124 basis points for every 100-basis-point movement in the S&P 500. More concerning, the iShares U.S. Technology ETF carries a rather high expense ratio of 0.4%. For context, the average expense ratio on U.S. ETFs was 0.37% in 2022, according to Morningstar.

Personally, I like the idea of direct exposure to the high-growth information technology sector, but I would rather own the Vanguard Information Technology ETF (VGT 0.97%). Not only did it perform a little better over the last two decades, compounding at 14.1% annually, but also it carries a much lower expense ratio of 0.1%.

Randi Zuckerberg, a former director of market development and spokeswoman for Facebook and sister to Meta Platforms CEO Mark Zuckerberg, is a member of The Motley Fool's board of directors. Suzanne Frey, an executive at Alphabet, is a member of The Motley Fool's board of directors. John Mackey, former CEO of Whole Foods Market, an Amazon subsidiary, is a member of The Motley Fool's board of directors. Trevor Jennewine has positions in Adobe, Amazon, Nvidia, and Tesla. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Adobe, Advanced Micro Devices, Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Costco Wholesale, Meta Platforms, Microsoft, Netflix, Nvidia, Qualcomm, Salesforce, and Tesla. The Motley Fool recommends Broadcom and recommends the following options: long January 2026 $395 calls on Microsoft and short January 2026 $405 calls on Microsoft. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Billionaires Are Selling Nvidia Stock and Buying 2 Top Index Funds That Beat the S&P 500 Over the Past Decade | The Motley Fool (2024)

FAQs

What stock will grow the most in 10 years? ›

  • AbbVie Inc. (ticker: ABBV)
  • Adobe Inc. (ADBE)
  • Apple Inc. (AAPL)
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  • DraftKings Inc. (DKNG)
  • Enphase Energy Inc. (ENPH)
  • Nvidia Corp. (NVDA)
May 17, 2024

Is Nvidia a buy or sell? ›

Nvidia has surged past a 5% buy zone from a handle buy point of 922.20, so it is not a buy right now. It is also extended from a proper entry at 974. Buying when a stock is extended is risky. It's best now to waiting for another base or follow-on buy point to make an initial position in the AI chip stock.

What is the most successful stock index? ›

The S&P 500—the Standard & Poor's 500 Index—is considered to be one of the best measures of U.S. stock market performance, tracking 500 of the largest and most stable publicly traded companies in the country.

Why are index funds bad investments? ›

While indexes may be low cost and diversified, they prevent seizing opportunities elsewhere. Moreover, indexes do not provide protection from market corrections and crashes when an investor has a lot of exposure to stock index funds.

What stock is going to boom in 2024? ›

2024's 10 Best-Performing Stocks
Stock2024 Return Through April 30
Vera Therapeutics Inc. (ticker: VERA)156.9%
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Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. (DJT)185.3%
6 more rows
May 3, 2024

What has been the best investment over the last 10 years? ›

The decade is almost over — and one incredibly volatile investment stood out from all the rest as the best of the 2010s. Want to guess what it was? Bitcoin. According to a recent report by Bank of America Securities, if you invested $1 in bitcoin at the start of the decade, it would now be worth more than $90,000.

What will Nvidia stock be worth in 2025? ›

In 2025, NVIDIA's stock price projections vary widely. Some estimates suggest a range from $1,300 up to around $5,200. However, many analysts predict the stock will be between $1,500 and $2,000, reflecting strong growth driven by continued advancements in AI and data centres.

How much will NVDA be worth in 5 years? ›

Consensus estimates predict Nvidia's earnings will increase at an annual rate of just over 35% for the next five years. Based on the company's fiscal 2024 earnings of $12.96 per share, its bottom line could jump to $58.11 per share after five years, assuming it does increase at the predicted rate.

Is it a good time to buy Nvidia stock? ›

At the beginning of 2023, NVDA was trading at a forward earnings multiple of about 90x, while today it is trading at 45.3x FY24 earnings estimates and just 36x FY25 earnings estimates. I think investors can still safely invest in Nvidia stock based on its reasonable valuation, and future expected growth.

Who is the greatest stock investor of all time? ›

Warren Buffett is widely considered the greatest investor in the world. Born in 1930 in Omaha, Nebraska, Buffett began investing at a young age and became the chairman and CEO of Berkshire Hathaway, one of the world's largest and most successful investment firms.

Which index fund makes the most money? ›

The SPDR S&P Dividend ETF (SDY 0.28%) is a top-performing index fund for income-oriented investors. The dividend-weighted fund's benchmark is the S&P High Yield Dividend Aristocrats® Index, which tracks 135 stocks with the highest dividend yields in the S&P Composite 1500 Index.

Which stock gives the highest return in 1 year? ›

Highest Return in 1 Year
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1.Spright Agro36.75
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Do billionaires invest in index funds? ›

The bottom line is that even billionaires recognize the wealth-creation potential of low-cost index funds. Even if you're an active investor in individual stocks -- like Buffett and Dalio are -- rock-solid index funds like these four can help form an excellent backbone for your portfolio.

Can an index fund investor lose everything? ›

As with all investments, it is possible to lose money in an index fund, but if you invest in an index fund and hold it over the long-term, it is likely that your investment will increase in value over time.

Can you lose more than you invest in index funds? ›

So while it's theoretically possible to lose everything, it doesn't happen for standard funds. That said, an index fund could underperform and lose money for years, depending on what it's invested in. But the odds that an index fund loses everything are very low.

Which share is best for 10 year investment? ›

Best long-term stocks
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Which stock to invest for 10 years? ›

best long term stocks
S.No.NameCMP Rs.
1.Ksolves India1092.50
2.Swadeshi Polytex261.30
3.Network People1457.00
4.Tips Industries431.55
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Which stocks to buy for 15 years? ›

Overview of Best Long-Term Stocks to Buy in India
  • HDFC Bank Limited: Future Potential: ...
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May 16, 2024

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